California Redistricting Measure Now Leads By 170,726 Votes

California’s Proposition Eleven is currently leading by 170,726 votes (as of 9 a.m., Pacific time, Nov. 16). Proposition Eleven removes legislative redistricting from the hands of the legislature and places it with a Commission. The current margin is 50.8% to 49.2% (5,455,269 to 5,284,543). Here is a link to the California Secretary of State’s webpage, which shows updated totals for Prop. Eleven, and also a map showing which counties voted “yes” and which voted “no”.

The Commission that would draw legislative district boundaries reserves four seats on the fourteen-member commission for voters who are registered, yet who are not registered Republicans or Democrats.


Comments

California Redistricting Measure Now Leads By 170,726 Votes — 9 Comments

  1. Yes, four of the 12 members of the commission will be something other than Republicans and Democrats. But the process of selecting these independents and/or minor party members gives the leaders of the two largest parties too much influence. It’s complicated, but the essence is that a substantial number of applicants can be vetoed.

    In addition, there’s the problem that Prop. 11 puts the number two — as in two political parties — in the state constitution in a way that hasn’t been the case before. Rather than saying, for example, that each party that got X% in the last gubernatorial election has four seats each, or y% of total voter registration, it says the two largest parties get four seats each. See the difference?

  2. Actually, it’s fourteen members with 5 each from the major parties and the other 4 from minors or DTS. It takes 9 to pass anything on, so you know collusion will be the play of the day, and the bending over backwards to the major parties make this thing a stinker. That’s why the LP recommended a NO vote on this.

    Had the partisanship been totally removed and the commissioners been selected at random without regard to political labels, it might be useful.

  3. California already has other election laws that might be said to differentiate on political party. For example, the Public Funding bill signed into law recently treats independents far worse than members of parties (independents need twice as many qualifying contributions to get any public funding, as party members do).

    Also minor parties get a better deal on petitions in lieu of filing fee, than major party members do.

  4. P.R. – NO gerrymander commissions are needed.

    Total Votes / Total Seats = EQUAL votes needed for each seat winner — via vote transfers using pre-election candidate rank order lists.

    ALL voters elect a legislator — majority rule (aka Democracy) and minority representation.

  5. California already has other election laws that might be said to differentiate on political party. …

    Yes, lots of those. But nothing I’m aware of that says “the two largest parties …” rather than saying “all parties that meet some threshold condition”.

    Thanks to Michael Seebeck for correcting my numbers.

  6. Demo Rep, that would never work.

    For example, that would make Berkeley voters able to elect and OC state legislator and vice versa. It would never fly with those constituents.

    OTOH, a “vote for 53” on a mass at-large Congress ticket is an idea. It jives with Thornton and allows true at-large voting and eliminates in-state carpetbagging arguments.

  7. P.R. works in Germany, Israel, New Zealand, etc. — majority parties or coalitions and minority parties.

    The U.S.A. has its STONE AGE minority rule gerrymander regimes (inherited from the de facto gerrymander formation of the English House of Commons in the 1200s — a mere 700 plus years ago)

    — half the votes in half the gerrymander districts = about 25 percent indirect minority rule — with the resulting EVIL powermad Donkey and Elephant control freaks in legislative bodies (esp. in 1 party *safe* seat areas).

    Primary math is much worse — about 10 percent of the voters nominate the party hack gang that later gets in control in general elections.

  8. The odd part is that it leaves congressional redistricting in the hands of the legislature – even though the preamble cites 3 cities, Long Beach, Fresno, and San Jose which it claims to be terribly gerrymandered. At least to a casual observer it appears that the congressional gerrymandering is worse. For example, Fresno is split between 3 congressional districts, but two senate districts. Part of Long Beach is included in a congressional district that runs from Costa Mesa to Palos Verdes. The congressional districts in Los Angelese County are truly bizarre shapes.

    Better would be to let anyone prepare a map. Draw a random sample of voters from throughout the State (say 5,000) as a redistricting panel – they can meet in their county seats. Have them rank all the maps, and determine the winner using the Condorcet method.

    Then divide the ballots into groups based on the districts of the statewide winner. Recalculate a Condorcet winner for each district. If a district winner coincides with the statewide winner, then that district is completed.

    Repeat the process in the rest of the State with a new panel.

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