The U.S. House has 435 voting members. It seems likely that on November 4, 2008, 30 of them switched from one major party to the other (relative to which party held the seat just before the election).
The 24 districts that definitely switched from “Republican” to “Democratic” are: Alabama 2, Arizona 1, Colorado 4, Connecticut 4, Florida 8, Florida 24, Idaho 1, Illinois 11, Maryland 1, Michigan 7, Michigan 9, Nevada 3, New Jersey 3, New Mexico 1, New Mexico 2, New York 13, New York 25, New York 29, North Carolina 8, Ohio 1, Ohio 16, Pennsylvania 3, Virginia 2, Virginia 11.
The four districts that definitely switched from “Democratic” to “Republican” are: Florida 16, Kansas 2, Louisiana 6, Texas 22.
It is more likely than not that the Democrats also captured two other districts: Ohio 15 and Virginia 5. If so, that would mean 30 seats switched. There is a chance that California’s 4th district also switched from Republican to Democratic.
Two districts in Louisiana haven’t had their general elections yet. The 2nd is considered safe Democratic, but the 4th could be a district that switches from Republican to Democratic.
Louisiana’s Sixth Congressional District actually re-elected a Republican (Richard Baker) in November 2006. Baker resigned earlier this year. He was replaced, in a May 2008 special election, by a Democrat (Don Cazayoux). Cazayoux was defeated this month by another Republican (Bill Cassidy).
So, even though the Democratic incumbent is being replaced by a Republican, there wasn’t really a partisan switch for the Sixth District in November 2008 relative to how that district voted in November 2006.
Thank you. It is tricky when there are changes in the middle of a term.
Yes, it is.
However, one could argue that, in a way, there actually WAS a partisan switch in the Sixth District in November 2008 relative to how that district voted in November 2006. The switch, though, would be away from the Republicans, rather than toward them.
In November 2006, the Republican incumbent was re-elected with 82.81% of the votes cast. The remainder went to his sole challenger, a Libertarian.
In November 2008, the Republican nominee was elected with only 48.12% of the votes cast. 40.29% went to the Democratic incumbent and 11.59% went to another challenger who has had a significant political career as a Democrat and who campaigned in this race as an “Independent Democrat” (though he was officially a “no party” candidate).
So, more than half of the votes cast in the Sixth District this November were anti-Republican and (arguably) pro-Democrat. That’s quite a shift from the overwhelming majority that the Republican got two years ago in a race in which the Democrats didn’t even bother fielding a candidate.
It’s also worth noting that Louisiana started using plurality voting for its Congressional races this year. If the November 2008 result had happened under the electoral laws that were in place in November 2006, then there would have to be a December runoff between the top-two vote-getters.
I would watch the 2nd district in la. The incumbent was filmed taking bribes, and there is a strong green party challenger in the race.
http://www.votemalik.com/
The ENTIRE U.S.A. regime is a 3 headed minority rule gerrymander MONSTER.
House, Senate, Electoral College
Half the votes in half the gerrymander areas = about 25 percent minority rule.
Much worse due to primary math.
Much much worse in the Senate due to the many very small States.
Democracy NOW — before the minority rule MONSTERS destroy the U.S.A. and what remains of Western Civilization.
P.R. and A.V.
The so-called runoff in the 2 LA gerrymander districts is a blatant violation of 2 U.S.C. 7 —
2 U.S.C. Sec. 7. Time of election
The Tuesday next after the 1st Monday in November, in every even numbered year, is established as the day for the election, in each of the States and Territories of the United States, of Representatives and Delegates to the Congress commencing on the 3d day of January next thereafter.
(R.S. Sec. 25; Mar. 3, 1875, ch. 130, Sec. 6, 18 Stat. 400; June 5, 1934, ch. 390, Sec. 2, 48 Stat. 879.)
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THE day — THE election — much too difficult for State govt MORONS and the brain dead media to understand.
See Foster v. Love, 522 U.S. 67 (1997).
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The GA U.S. Senate runoff election is also blatantly illegal.